Selasa, 27 Juli 2010

KEEPING RISK SMALL


Keeping risk small and rewards big is what a good trader is always attempting to do.

How can we do that???

How can we gain that kind of advantage??????

One way I have discovered is by trading off of the 1 minute time frame.

Why is that an advantage??????
It keeps your risk small when you find yourself on the right side of the trade and within a matter of minutes, you will see that you can secure a very nice profit.

The advantage that it has over larger time frames is that you are able to get in on a move quicker, giving you access to more profit with a smaller risk. Many times when you are trading off of the larger time frames by the time you get your confirmation, the move is almost over, the reward is smaller and the risk bigger, especially if you day trade.

One of the problems that comes as a result is that you find yourself in a nice profit briefly before price reverses strongly on you again, then you find yourself hoping and waiting for price to come back in your favor, kicking yourself all of the time, thinking 'I should have got out when I had a profit.'

Now I do need to mention that while you get many more trading opportunities off of the 1 min time frame, You also get many more false trading signals.............

Let's put the odds in your favor a little more. I don't use a trend line on the 1 min chart, just on my longer time frames, so there is always a trend line available, but it comes off a larger time frame. On your 1 min chart, you may want to consider a moving average, right now I am experimenting with the 8, 10, 14/15, 20 and the 50 period SMA.

Though your SMA is a lagging indicator, it can still give you some clear trading advantages by showing you the times that the odds are the most in your favor.......



The real sweet spot.......

TIME, time is the magic ingredient to pulling off a successful and profitable trade. There are market sweet spots, times when your pair is the most active. Those are the times that give you the biggest opportunity for profit. You want to capitalize on these times. Two good trades at these sweet spots will make your trading day.

Here is a chart that will give you an idea when your pairs are the most active:
http://www.mataf.net/en/tools/02-01-volatility.

The most important thing to remember about the 1 min chart is to get in, get your profit and get out. You can not ride a 1 min trade all day.................On the 1 min chart it iS imperative that you cut your profits when things are no longer going in your favor, because price can soon engulf your profits if you don't.

So in closing the things you want to keep your risk small are:
The sweet spot in time:
A proper trade set-up
Speed of execution.

Rabu, 14 Juli 2010

WHY DO WE HOLD ON TO LOSSES ???

Why do we as traders hold on to our losses???????

Hope,
Fear,
Anger,
Apathy,
Confusion,

When we see ourselves on the wrong side of a trade, we hold on with the thought that the market will soon come back in our favor, because most of the time it does. Hope, one of the greatest gift's GOD has given us, can get you killed in the market.

The fear that when we let go of that loss, price is going to come back in our favor and we would have taken that hit for nothing.

The thought that we can't take this loss, because we don't want to give back some of our profits. Then the loss becomes so large that we really can't afford to take it, so we leave it in the hands on the market hoping for mercy. In that situation, believe me the market is going to run over You every chance it gets, and will wipe You out as many times as possible. As generous as it is on the right side of the trade, it is a ravenous beast with no mercy on the other.

You have done all of Your analysis right, You have waited for a proper trade set-up and everything says that You have the advantage, You get in the market and the trade goes against you, and You are madder than hell because You were right, so You refuse to cut the loss. Let me say that the market loves that, because Your anger is only giving them more of your hard earned money. Your analysis can be 100% perfect and the market can still go against You, because the market will do as it pleases. It leads and You follow, but make no mistake, the same market that lines your pockets so fully can also turn on you like a mad dog.

Another thing that happens when a loss becomes too large is that thought that "I should have cut it at $100.00, now it is $1,000.00". Then the apathy sets in and You just don't care what happens any more. 'If it comes around fine', or 'if I get wiped out so what', 'whatever', then You turn off your screen and You do something else, but You can't stop worrying about that loss that is looming over You larger than life. It is so much better for you to cut a loss than to have the market cut it for You.

The other thing is the confusion about when to cut a loss, it can get to be hard, but having a predefined stop
before your entry or soon after or a physical SL, will make taking a hit much easier. I never like to try to define people's SL's because it is a matter of risk tolerance. You know how much You can afford to loss, and Zero is not an option, while none of us want to lose anything, it is just not realistic in this game. There are people who were prosperous for years in the market and got wiped out in single day or week because they could not stand to take a loss. As long as You have money, you have money to make more money, but when your money is gone, you have to get up from the table.

These things are easy to say in theory but hard to do practically, it is I think the hardest discipline that a trader learns, but we must learn to cut losses quickly. The heartache and money I could have saved by cutting my losses quickly and going in the direction that price was moving would be enough for that new Camaro that I love.

That is the great thing about the market, if You survive to play another day, You eventually get it.

CUT YOUR LOSSES QUICKLY (^_^)!!!!!!!!!!!

A failed long usually makes a good short, and a failed short usually means a good long (^_^). There is always good money to be made in the market, just don't be the one because of your false hope, or stubbornness, that the market is making money off of. Don't allow the market to feed on your families hard earned money cut losses quickly!!!!!!!!!!



Senin, 21 Juni 2010

FINDING THE PERFECT ENTRY

While finding the perfect entry is the fantasy of every trader. There is no such thing. It is pure myth. If you get an exact top/bottom it is more luck than science. We have many indicators to help us to do this, but finding a good entry point can still be a challenge.

While there are no perfect entries; there have to be entries that put the odds of success in our favor

I think the secret to getting a good entry is the waiting. I get more profitable trades than losses because I am willing to allow the trade to come to me. As a trader I do more waiting than trading. Many people don't get that, but the secret to getting your best market entry is in the waiting.

Here are some things that might help. Mark Yesterdays support and resistance , if you are near yesterdays support when you enter the market and price is moving in a bullish fashion, there is a high percentage that you can take your trade long for a good ride. If you exceed yesterdays high and you get a reversal, then you are probably in for a sweet ride to the down side.

If you are at a midpoint, you might want to wait for a pullback or bounce for a better entry. If you have enough distance from your support or resistance, then most of the time you are safe to follow that short term trend. This works best on a non trending or slightly trending market. In a trending bull market, sometimes you will dip down to just below the high of the previous day all the way down to the low of the previous day before price continues on in it's bullish pursuits. In a trending bear market, price might rally above the previous day's close and in rarer occasions all the way to the high of the previous day before reversing.

Never buy near yesterday's top or sell near the bottom unless you are in steps. If You sell near the previous days top or buy near yesterdays bottom, you are much more likely to get a break even trade if the market doesn't do what you expect.

Here is a great link that will show you roughly what your pair is going to do hourly and daily. It also shows you the times that your pair is most active:

http://www.mataf.net/en/tools/02-01-volatility

This is only a guide, compare it to your charts to see how accurate it is overall.

Guys, you can do this and play with the big dogs, but you must educate yourself and employ the kind of discipline that puts you in the winners circle.


YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)


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Rabu, 16 Juni 2010

BEFORE YOU TAKE THAT TRADE

STOP!!!!!!!!!!!! before you enter that trade:

Did You see how far it was from yesterdays support or resistance?

Is it ascending or descending steps?

Did You draw Yourself a trend line?

Did You wait for a proper trade set-up?

Are You going in harmony with Your current trend?

If You are going against the trend, did You ask Yourself,
"How far am I from the trend line?"
"Is this signal strong enough to make it worth the risk?"
"How far along is this trend?"

"What is an appropriate stop if I am wrong?"

These are a few questions You may want to ask Yourself prior to entering a trade (^_^)


YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)


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Senin, 14 Juni 2010

DEMO ACCOUNT



I am always telling new traders to practice on their demo account until they become consistently profitable.

WHY?????

Because I have found that it is a way to program a success pattern in your mind. Your mind doesn't distinguish between a live and a demo account, however we do. Sometimes we allow emotions to interfere with the successful program that our mind is running once we get a live account.

We want trading to be so ingrained in us that it is almost instinct. Your demo gives you the opportunity to train your mind toward automatic success.

Your brain begins to recognize patterns of success as you practice on your live or demo account, it doesn't matter which one?.

As a trader, every time you enter the market, you take a risk.

YOU CAN NOT BE BE AFRAID OF RISK!

But you must make SMART, CALCULATED RISK in the market. Risk no more than 2% of your capital in a trade. 2% on the right side of the trade is more than enough to provide your with a very comfortable life style. 2% on the wrong side of the trade can also take you out. That is why smart calculated risk give you the biggest advantage in the market. When you don't over trade your account it gives you more control over your exit as opposed to being forced out of the trade by the market.

ENTER THE MARKET WHEN YOU CAN SEE A CLEAR ADVANTAGE!

Use your demo up, blow it up several times if that is what is necessary for you to gain an understanding of what is going on in the market.

Take your demo seriously. Practice your successes and it will help your mind begin to eliminate those habits that are counter productive to good trading. Practicing success in your demo translates into success in your live account.


YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)


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Kamis, 10 Juni 2010

RUNNING PRICE


Many times when price is running like a mad train on steroids, it is very unsettling because all of your emotions are screaming for you to jump aboard. The problem with that is many time that same train that seduced you aboard will often abandon you at the station leaving you wondering what happened??????

One of the most difficult temptation to resist in trading is the urge and beckoning to follow running price. Running price will often leave you stuck at the top or abandoned at the bottom. When your eyes see price running, all of your emotions are screaming for you to jump aboard. DON'T DO IT! Many times it is a trap that will leave you licking your wounds. When you get off of the ground all scraped up, you still aren't
sure what happened because you were in harmony with your trend. Many times price will speed up just before the critical end of that run.



Now if you are aboard a trend and price starts on super steroids x 20 then you might want to begin looking for the nearest exit point. It doesn't always happen like that, but I have seen it often enough that I never jump into running price, even though my emotions are still screaming for me to.

While I am looking at price accelerate, I am thinking "look at all of that money you missed, and you knew it was going to keep going" or thoughts like "crap you should have gotten in, you missed your chance." My Friend the market will give you another chance!

I would rather miss out on an iffy trade for a sure one any day. When things settle and I can see a clear advantage then I can enter the market with logic instead of emotions....

Study Your charts and learn the price rhythm of your currency pair or pairs

YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)


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Jumat, 04 Juni 2010

LIKE FINE WINE

Like a fine wine the surety of a trend reversal gets better with time. The more a trend has aged, the more likely you are to get a valid reversal.

The older a trend gets the more ripe it is for falling off, and the more likely a new more robust trend will take over. A trend that is young and vigorous maybe side tracked briefly, but is not very likely to be defeated. The end of the uptrend says that the last of the big buyers are gone and the end of a down trend says that the last of the big sellers are gone and that trend has now become ripe for a take over.

Think of a trend like a young lion protecting his pride, another lion is not likely to usurp his authority. As he gets older, he is much more likely to lose his pride in defeat to a younger more energetic lion. The same is true with a trend as it gets older it becomes much more likely to be taken over. When considering whether or not to take a reversal (especially in the short term) gauge the age of the trend first. If the trend has just begin then you are not likely to have a legitimate reversal on your hand. If the trend is still very close to the trend line then it is not likely to be a valid reversal.

There are no absolutes in the market, but you do need to keep an eye out for things that put the odds the most in your favor.


YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)


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